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POLLS AND PREDICTIONS - Mid Terms 2018 http://randomtopics.org/viewtopic.php?f=152&t=1982 |
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Author: | Rumpole [ Mon Oct 29, 2018 2:45 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: POLLS AND PREDICTIONS - Mid Terms 2018 |
As we enter the last week.... Nate Silver and his crew continue to predict 86.3% chance of DIMS winning the House They just added the USC Dornsife/LA Times poll showing R 40%, D 57% DIM lead.. D+17 That result, especially just a week from an election, with likelihood of many people seeing it an perhaps be influenced by it, should have been checked/not published.In the absence of some HUGE event, a 17% Dim lead is a silly thing to claim. A responsible polling company would question their own results. Either that... or this crowd really have no shame and are blatantly trying to interfere in the election. A legit analyst would see this result as an indication that their survey was flawed in some way. Perhaps their sample population not representative. Data missing or corrupted.. or perhaps a math calculation error. Maybe even their data has been HACKED (by Russians or others)? |
Author: | Rumpole [ Thu Nov 01, 2018 9:25 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: POLLS AND PREDICTIONS - Mid Terms 2018 |
Congress Generic polls.... The polls have calmed down a little... but not backed off the stupid as much as I thought they would? RCP average D+7.5 https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epoll ... -6185.html Note Rasmussen Reports will reports its final Generic Congressional Ballot findings on Monday. |
Author: | Rumpole [ Mon Nov 05, 2018 1:20 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: POLLS AND PREDICTIONS - Mid Terms 2018 |
Final Polls are out... I was thinking that it would be nice if at least one poll showed up as Republican ahead, and Rasmussen came through R+1 And Asshole Poll award goes to........CNN.... D+13 As I have mansplained before... both these polls are claiming to measure the same thing.... One (or both) are WRONG. I really think there needs to be an investigation into ELECTION MEDDLING by Fake News/Fake Poll companies. RCP Average D+7.3 Nate Silver - Chance Democrats win control of the House (87.4%) https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epoll ... -6185.html My best guess (assessment) is the election will wind up D+2-3 NO BLUE WAVE Republican keep the House and Senate. |
Author: | Rumpole [ Tue Nov 06, 2018 4:39 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: POLLS AND PREDICTIONS - Mid Terms 2018 |
Pre-Election RCP CONGRESS SENATE |
Author: | Rumpole [ Tue Nov 06, 2018 7:05 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: POLLS AND PREDICTIONS - Mid Terms 2018 |
I saw Fox report their NEW "voter analysis" which is supposed to replace "exit polls" (and be superior) As far as I can tell it is just an online (phone?) poll as opposed to people on the ground at individual polling places. It DOES have the advantage of including people who voted early whereas traditional exit polls only survey people who vote on election day. I am NOT suggesting this is any better than the same old "exit polls" I wont be updating reports, but as a "new thing"my first impression was that it is crap Apparently ONLY 46% in favor/53% Oppose a Border Wall Which indicates to me that they are surveying a bunch weighted towards Libtards. |
Author: | Rumpole [ Tue Nov 06, 2018 7:15 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: POLLS AND PREDICTIONS - Mid Terms 2018 |
Poll closing times by state (Time shown ET)
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Author: | Rumpole [ Tue Nov 06, 2018 7:21 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: POLLS AND PREDICTIONS - Mid Terms 2018 |
RESULTS LIVE UPDATE Failing NY Times https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/201 ... tions.html RCP Results https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elect ... 18/senate/ Styxhexenhammer666 - Live stream https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3uKNHhFWS1w |
Author: | Rumpole [ Tue Nov 06, 2018 9:12 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: POLLS AND PREDICTIONS - Mid Terms 2018 |
HOUSE SCORE: Trump 14 V Pelosi 10 Total votes showing Pelosi 4,357,280 votes (47.8%) Trump 4,694,907 votes (51.5%) |
Author: | Rumpole [ Tue Nov 06, 2018 11:38 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: POLLS AND PREDICTIONS - Mid Terms 2018 |
Beautiful Ted called for Texas |
Author: | Rumpole [ Wed Nov 07, 2018 12:27 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: POLLS AND PREDICTIONS - Mid Terms 2018 |
THE SENATE CALLED FOR TRUMP (Republicans have 50 seats) currently R50 V D41 |
Author: | Rumpole [ Wed Nov 07, 2018 12:41 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: POLLS AND PREDICTIONS - Mid Terms 2018 |
UNBELIEVABLY.. The HOUSE was called for DIMS ages ago Ethel the Aardvark Goes Quantity Surveying…… no wait.. Nancy Pelosi gets 218 House seats HOUSE SCORE: Trump 192 V Pelosi 218 Total votes showing Pelosi 48,288,467 votes (50.7%) Trump 45,368,204 votes (47.6%) |
Author: | Rumpole [ Tue Nov 13, 2018 12:05 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: POLLS AND PREDICTIONS - Mid Terms 2018 |
Sinema called as AZ Senator... McSally loses. Senate likely ends up 53 R 47 D |
Author: | Rumpole [ Sun Nov 18, 2018 5:29 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: POLLS AND PREDICTIONS - Mid Terms 2018 |
The Senate.... Scott wins in Florida (finally) That has the Senate 52R to 47D The one place outstanding is Mississippi which is headed to a run-off election Nov. 27 since no candidate passed 50% I heard in passing that 53 Senate seats is a critical level because that is sufficient to give the Republicans a TWO member advantage in Committees (they only get one at the moment) Trump to hold rallies in Mississippi on eve of Senate runoff election President Donald Trump will hold two campaign rallies in Mississippi to campaign for Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith on November 26, the day before her runoff election against Democrat Mike Espy. |
Author: | Rumpole [ Sun Nov 18, 2018 5:31 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: POLLS AND PREDICTIONS - Mid Terms 2018 |
The House... 232 Democrats.... 5 undecided....... 198 Republicans https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/201 ... tions.html Prediction is R get 4 more, Dims get 1 |
Author: | Rumpole [ Tue Nov 27, 2018 11:30 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: POLLS AND PREDICTIONS - Mid Terms 2018 |
Mississippi Senate Run-off today AP has called the race for Cindy Hyde Smith That has the Senate 53R to 47D |
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